Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 403.846928 459.369714 521.211731 595.461751 682.532284 781.814009 904.176686
2025-10-19 322.295896 394.908113 483.276105 599.801755 751.000316 942.739981 1207.806129
2025-10-26 269.933693 346.911715 446.138950 585.403786 779.018399 1043.520402 1440.774518
2025-11-02 234.919245 313.444363 419.386443 575.744344 805.797156 1140.298254 1679.696532
2025-11-09 216.070331 298.073968 413.323516 591.381278 867.447399 1293.095059 2027.978415
2025-11-16 195.770514 277.632406 396.667808 587.816416 897.766774 1400.659691 2323.103525
2025-11-23 178.063285 258.680847 379.462943 580.179234 919.017269 1494.920212 2612.278126
2025-11-30 165.492992 245.934436 369.908151 582.787749 956.421124 1621.017979 2984.592561
2025-12-07 151.903469 230.155756 353.717594 571.996397 968.382734 1702.453056 3286.311580
2025-12-14 141.532125 218.452796 342.776354 568.521817 992.358092 1809.198931 3663.027935
2025-12-21 129.022979 202.152684 322.607433 546.302640 977.999047 1838.121782 3875.419775
2025-12-28 125.292452 200.060709 326.206690 567.303211 1049.378880 2052.440754 4566.538510
2026-01-04 122.162036 198.892292 331.594184 592.922521 1135.304158 2317.171786 5466.631605
2026-01-11 115.946430 191.854807 325.882891 596.567035 1176.494903 2491.492367 6189.172384
2026-01-18 107.902878 180.907021 311.999808 582.289959 1176.778566 2570.364761 6671.636342
2026-01-25 101.252649 171.956652 301.040940 572.689784 1185.997611 2672.575199 7255.390501
2026-02-01 98.277357 169.493713 302.126362 588.228603 1255.083994 2939.387263 8442.084813
2026-02-08 93.320950 162.946081 294.708866 584.686161 1278.402324 3091.136976 9308.918215
2026-02-15 88.336730 155.986289 285.895118 577.096935 1290.708843 3215.510878 10128.844825
2026-02-22 84.815939 151.586756 281.841516 579.689083 1328.992613 3421.856560 11335.455016
2026-03-01 80.239369 144.816215 272.412358 568.965353 1331.291968 3523.129040 12177.535001
2026-03-08 76.696746 139.859468 266.363302 565.512497 1352.501486 3687.195609 13352.909563
2026-03-15 71.712524 131.715775 253.034818 543.431670 1319.967966 3675.517944 13765.851061